Methods Overview

We make projections, not predictions.

Our model projections describe what may happen under the influence of assumptions such as higher temperatures or increases in wildfire. Our models describe possible futures under sets of assumptions known as scenarios. They help manage uncertainty when planning for the future.

  1. We start with a curated set of data that models climate and ecosystem interactions.
  2. Then we generate locally relevant data and project possible environmental conditions for Alaska under different climate scenarios.

Summary of data and ecosystem modeling efforts

methods overview diagram